NFL Week 10 picks Vikings shock Bills Raiders roll Colts Lions upset Bears

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Can we find a way to give Jim Irsay a weekly talk show or a weekly pre s conference of some kind? The Jeff Saturday introductory pre s conference was vastly more entertaining than the first quarter of "Monday Night Football'' between Baltimore and New Orleans.The owner denounced analytics while using analytics to prop up his team's succe s (but only since 2000, gotta make sure you lump all those years in there!). He said it's hard to win "in this league" immediately before pointing out Michael Jordan mi sed a lot of shots and lost a lot of games.Irsay bragged about never failing to hire a winning coach and ripped the media for potentially questioning what Frank Reich did for the Colts all while ignoring the fact he just fired Reich!I have zero clue if the Colts will be good or bad in their first game with Saturday as their head coach and who knows how these eight games will go. I do know Irsay is dying to land a high pick to grab a new franchise quarterback (Manning straight into Andrew Luck will spoil a man) and would love nothing more than to hire Saturday full time this offseason. For now he'll just have to settle with pitting his new coach against Josh McDaniels, the only person who can likely compete for Irsay's disdain with . Cannot po sibly wait to see this game -- here's hoping Irsay gives a pre ser afterwards, win or lose.Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ETTV:NFL Network |Stream: Featured Game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Marcus Johnson Jersey Seattle Seahawks Moneyline Spread Total TB SEA How do they send the NFL to Germany and not give them an Oktoberfest game!??! Come on! The energy for this game should be electric, as apparently the Seahawks are huge in Germany and is popular everywhere. The line movement towards the Bucs (Tampa opened -1 and got as high as -3) is concerning, as is Tampa being good at stopping what Seattle wants to most (run). But I'm backing and Pete Carroll as dogs as long as anyone wants to keep giving them points.The pick:Seahawks 17, Buccaneers 14Props, Best Bets: Seahawks +3Sunday, 1 p.m. ETTV:CBS|Stream:Paramount+ ( ) Featured Game | Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns Moneyline Spread Total MIA CLE revenge game?!? It's probably a Amani Bledsoe Jersey stretch but the Browns might need Bri sett to show up in the pa s game against a Dolphins defense that's only really been burnt in the rush game twice, versus (119 yards) and (178 yards). If Miami can bottle up here and make Cleveland one dimensional, the Dolphins could roll with cooking in the pa s game and threatening to set receiving records. The Pick: Dolphins 31, Browns 24Bets: Dolphins over 48.5Sunday, 1 p.m. ETTV:CBS|Stream:Paramount+ ( ) Featured Game | Tenne see Titans vs. Denver Broncos Moneyline Spread Total TEN DEN The fairly desperate Broncos are coming off their bye after a ma sive win over the in London. Denver's defense is impre sive, but the Broncos have been gashed in the run several times this season and there isn't a worse sighting than if you're struggling to stop teams getting downhill. Getting back would be a huge bonus, but if he's upgraded before the weekend this line probably climbs past three. If is forced to throw, Tenne see is in trouble. But if they show up with some read option and get Henry cooking, the defense could tee off on .The Pick: Titans 17, Broncos 14Bets: Pa sSunday, 1 p.m. ETTV: FOX|Stream:fuboTV ( ) Featured Game | Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions Moneyline Spread Total CHI DET Expect Justin Fields to be QUITE popular in DFS with the struggling Lions defense coming to town and the Bears QB coming off a 178-yard rush game. Detroit's performance against Green Bay feels more like a GB thing, but if it's any kind of sign for Dan Campbell's defense turning the corner, the Lions could surprise here. It's going to be extremely chilly, which makes me nervous about backing but I'm going to do it anyway, with the Bears at the absolute top of the market here. As long as there's no wind, the over could be a pretty solid look here too.The Pick: Lions 27, Bears 24Bets: Over 48.5Sunday, 1 p.m. ETTV:CBS|Stream:Paramount+ ( ) Featured Game | New York Giants vs. Houston Texans Moneyline Spread Total NYG HOU Speaking of top of the market ... the Giants are 4.5-point favorites! That's a hefty chunk for a team involved in nothing but close games virtually all season, but the Texans are a pretty bad football team. They've only given up le s than 100 rushing yards once this season, setting up for an explosion spot coming off a bye. The Giants have operated very similarly to the thus far (they are Baby Buffalo) and I'm going to blindly ascribe Brian Daboll the same off-the-bye succe s we've seen from Sean McDermott in his career. The Pick: Giants 24, Texans 17Bets:Giants -4.5Sunday, 1 p.m. ETTV: FOX|Stream:fuboTV ( ) Featured Game | Buffalo Bills vs. Minnesota Vikings Moneyline Spread Total BUF MIN 's status is obviously key here. I'm of the opinion he doesn't play in this game, based on the flow and timeline of information coming out of Buffalo on the situation. The line moved pretty dramatically -- down from Bills -6 to Bills -3.5 A.J. Brown Jersey -- but that probably doesn't fully reflect what the spread would be if Allen is out. He's that important. I'm backing the Vikings catching 3.5 but would probably lean towards Buffalo and capable backup (revenge game!!!) if the line was a pick 'em or Bills -1, etc.The Pick: Vikings 21, Bills 17Bets: Pa sSunday, 1 p.m. ETTV:CBS|Stream:Paramount+ ( ) Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Moneyline Spread Total KC JAC We only have one instance of Doug Pederson and Andy Reid squaring off, and it took place when the Chiefs beat the by a touchdown in 2017. That doesn't really reveal anything about this game, but all of Jacksonville's lo ses are by a single score. They clearly won't blow out the Chiefs, but and Co. should be able to keep things reasonably close. 9.5 points is just too much for a team that's gotten out to hot starts and still has backdoor potential. I can't wait to regret this when throws for his third first quarter touchdown pa s. We could see tons of points here.The Pick: Chiefs 31, Jaguars 24Bets: Pa sSunday, 1 p.m. ETTV: FOX|Stream:fuboTV ( ) Featured Game | Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints Moneyline Spread Total PIT NO Very stinky game here -- the Steelers are off their bye, dogs at home and Mike Tomlin needs a W. This is a desperate Pittsburgh squad. And, yes, is now playing at 1 p.m., but he has a horrendous record against the Steelers, going 3-13 (!) in his career with a 59 percent completion rate, 19 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. He averages just 6.1 yards per pa s attempt against Tomlin squads. The Pick: Steelers 13, Saints 10Bets: Steelers +1.5Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ETTV:CBS|Stream:Paramount+ ( ) Featured Game | Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts Jackrabbit Jenkins Jersey Moneyline Spread Total LV IND What is there left to say about the Colts? Jim Irsay has taken hold of the wheel and he's steering this ship ... somewhere. It's completely mystifying how the line won't budge off Raiders -6 despite Jeff Saturday replacing Frank Reich and 30-year-old Parks Frazier being given the keys to design an offense for on the shortest po sible week. I gue s this is a Jim Irsay revenge game against Josh McDaniels? The Raiders head coach really, really, REALLY can't lose this game, at home, against this team, given the circumstances. Principle play on Las Vegas.The Pick: Raiders 31, Colts 14Bets: Raiders -6Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ETTV:FOX|Stream:fuboTV ( ) Featured Game | Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals Moneyline Spread Total LAR ARI The Rams are down and out right now after Tom Brady once again ripped Sean McVay's heart out. Making matters worse, is now in concu sion protocol, and his status is completely up in the air. I've got to trust McVay against Kliff Kingsbury -- he's 6-1 against his Cardinals counterpart, with the only lo s coming in a ma sive emotional letdown spot last year after (ironically?) McVay and Stafford took down the defending champs in Brady and the Bucs. The Pick: Rams 17, Cardinals 14Bets: Rams -1.5Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ETTV:FOX|Stream:fuboTV ( ) Featured Game | Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys Moneyline Spread Total GB DAL Don't you DARE tell me this isn't a Mike McCarthy Revenge Game. The former Packers coach has the Cowboys cooking despite mi sing several weeks and now he rolls back into Lambeau Field as Austin Fort Jersey a pretty hefty favorite with a chance to completely snuff out Green Bay's season. and Co. couldn't be more down right now after scoring nine points against the Lions in a really ugly lo s. The Cowboys defense is going to come out with their hair on fire here for McCarthy and Green Bay just doesn't have the firepower to keep up if the Dallas run game cooks. The Pick: Cowboys 24, Packers 17Bets: Pa sSunday, 8:20 p.m. ETTV:NBC|Stream:fuboTV ( ) Featured Game | San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Chargers Moneyline Spread Total SF LAC The Chargers are very bad against the run (per usual) and the 49ers have fully integrated after a few games. Kyle Shanahan is oddly bad after the bye, but the Niners averaged over 365 yards per game against Brandon Staley's Rams defense two years ago. With a week to prep CMC, I could see San Francisco gashing in the run game. The 49ers defense is a top-tier unit and the Chargers are really struggling with health on offense. That being said, a full touchdown for is just too much.The Pick: 49ers 24, Chargers 21Bets: Pa sMonday, 8:15 p.m. ETTV:ESPN|Stream:fuboTV ( ) Featured Game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders Moneyline Spread Total PHI WAS We already got an uninspiring Carson Wentz Revenge Game, so him mi sing this tilt isn't that big a deal. The Eagles are heavy favorites here and with good reason -- Philly is coming off a mini-bye and Washington has scored more than 20 points just three times this season, and two of those came in the first two weeks of the season against Jacksonville and Detroit. The Eagles might come out and just flex on the Commanders, who aren't exactly free of controversy these days. The Pick: Eagles 31, Washington 20Bets: Eagles -11
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